2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and decide

The 2012 Euro Cup is right down to the final four teams, when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon they will be playing to handle the winner in the Spain vs. Portugal game that takes place later today.
Recent history between these teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't value the past, these are devoted to the overall game available.
The German squad have never beaten Italy in a competitive match.
"We can't reverse time, ignore over it, earlier times doesn't play a role in your planning," said German Coach Joachim euro cup 2016 qualification groups Loew. "Another stat is that Germany has not won against Italy in a very major tournament, but so what?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it's time for Germany to win as they're the widely used at -135. The Over/Under number is 2.5.
This game will be a tricky, hard fought match. My buddies are telling me that I am going the wrong way on this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

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